Friday, December 5, 2014

Just for Kicks Regression bracket - December 5, 2014

I've been working on dialing in my regression analysis for this season to include the past 1-, 3-, and 5-years' at-large selections. Testing my coefficients on the current season-to-date results produces the bracket below. To be clear, as the season winds down in late February and early March, I will make slight tweaks based on significant anomolies, but for the most part I intend to stick fairly closely to the regression results. To be extra clear, I have made no tweaks to the blatant anomolies in the order below, and they are for illustration of process only and not intended to be any kind of real predictions or projections.

Without further ado, if the season ended today, here would be the bracket:

1's: Miami, Old Dominion, Kentucky, Arizona
2's: Iowa State, Villanova, Texas, Colorado State
3's: Duke, Louisville, Wisconsin, North Carolina State
4's: Northern Iowa, Kansas, San Diego State, Syracuse
5's: LSU, Gonzaga, Ohio State, Arkansas
6's: Purdue, Virginia, Seton Hall, Harvard
7's: Georgia Tech, Davidson, UW-Green Bay, West Virginia
8's: Butler, Michigan, Washington, Rhode Island
9's: VCU, BYU, Colorado, Charlotte
10's: TCU, Michigan State, Iowa, Penn State
11's: Valparaiso, Alabama, Buffalo, Illinois
12's: North Carolina, Wichita State, Providence, Saint Mary's, Georgia State, Eastern Washington
13's: Utah State, UC Davis, Florida Gulf Coast, East Tennessee State
14's: Belmont, Dayton, Cincinnati, Eastern Michigan
15's: Stephen F Austin, Canisius, Army, Vermont
16's: Sacred Heart, High Point, Towson, Alabama State, Norfolk State, IPFW

FFO: Stanford, Holy Cross, Georgia State, Wyoming
NFO: Oklahoma, Minnesota, Texas Tech, Maryland

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