Wednesday, January 15, 2014

January 15, 2014 Update

A couple more big upsets last night shook things up a bit in the quest for a tournament selection.

Indiana's win at home over Wisconsin moved them onto the bubble as one of my first last four out.  With that big win, a .500 record in their remaining Big Ten games should move the Hoosiers into the field as the 8TH Big Ten team!  This game also bumped the Badgers off of their #1 overall spot, but their top-5 SOS keeps them on the 1-seed line, and my pick to win the Big Ten.

In the SEC, Arkansas beat Kentucky in Fayetteville to move them into my final At Large slot.  That being said, in a bit weaker conference, the Razorbacks will likely need 9 or 10 more conference wins to lock up a selection.  The result of the Wildcats' 4th loss is a drop from a 5- to 7-seed.  A few more losses like that could send Calipari to his second straight NIT.

Lastly, before we get to the updated predictions, the Cyclones' second consecutive loss drops them down another spot to a 3-seed.  Mayor Freddie will need to figure things out in a hurry, as their schedule doesn't ease up for a few more weeks.  They're just three games into an eight game stretch against tournament teams which includes a road rematch against the Jayhawks on the 29th, and a home rematch against the Sooners on February 1st.

1 seeds: Arizona, Wisconsin, Syracuse, Massachusetts
2 seeds: Villanova, Wichita State, Michigan State, Florida
3 seeds: Kansas, Iowa State, San Diego State, Pittsburgh
4 seeds: Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Creighton, Baylor
5 seeds: Colorado, Cincinnati, Iowa, Saint Louis
6 seeds: Oregon, Gonzaga, George Washington, Memphis
7 seeds: Connecticut, Missouri, New Mexico, Harvard
8 seeds: Kentucky, Oklahoma, UCLA, Louisville
9 seeds: Duke, Kansas State, Xavier, Illinois
10 seeds: Florida State, California, Southern Miss, Green Bay
11 seeds: Virginia, Minnesota, VCU, Texas
12 seeds: Michigan, Dayton, Georgetown, SMU, Arizona State, Arkansas
13 seeds: New Mexico StateOhio, North Dakota State, Belmont
14 seeds: UC Santa Barbara, Manhattan, Stephen F. Austin, Mercer
15 seeds: Boston University, Northern Colorado, Louisiana-Lafayette, Delaware
16 seeds: North Carolina Central, Radford, Saint Francis (NY), Stony Brook, Elon, Southern

First Four Out: Saint Mary's College, Indiana, Missouri State, Stanford

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