Sunday, March 17, 2019

March 17, 2019 - Final Bracket

Final Bracket


1 seeds: Virginia, Duke, North Carolina, Michigan State
2 seeds: Tennessee, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Michigan
3 seeds: Houston, Florida State, LSU, Texas Tech
4 seeds: Kansas, Purdue, Wisconsin, Virginia Tech
5 seeds: Kansas State, Villanova, Marquette, Auburn
6 seeds: Mississippi State, Maryland, Iowa State, Cincinnati
7 seeds: Buffalo, Wofford, Nevada, UCF
8 seeds: Iowa, Louisville, Utah State, Seton Hall
9 seeds: Minnesota, Washington, Oklahoma, Ole Miss
10 seeds: VCU, Syracuse, Baylor, TCU
11 seeds: Saint John's, Arizona State, Temple, Florida, Ohio State, Oregon
12 seeds: Saint Mary's College, Murray State, New Mexico State, UC Irvine
13 seeds: Liberty, Saint Louis, Yale, Northeastern
14 seeds: Vermont, Old Dominion, Georgia State, Montana
15 seeds: Abilene Christian, Northern Kentucky, Colgate, Bradley
16 seeds: Gardner-Webb, Prairie View A&M, Fairleigh Dickinson, North Dakota State, Iona, North Carolina Central

First four out: North Carolina State, Clemson, UNCG, Belmont
Next four out: Georgetown, Lipscomb, Furman, Creighton

Friday, March 15, 2019

March 15, 2019

This will likely be my last post before selection Sunday.

1 seeds: Virginia, North Carolina, Duke, Kentucky
2 seeds: Tennessee, Gonzaga, Michigan State, Michigan
3 seeds: Houston, LSU, Kansas, Purdue
4 seeds: Texas Tech, Florida State, Kansas State, Wisconsin
5 seeds: Marquette, Virginia Tech, Mississippi State, Villanova
6 seeds: Auburn, Wofford, Maryland, Buffalo
7 seeds: Nevada, Cincinnati, UCF, Iowa State
8 seeds: Iowa, Washington, Louisville, VCU
9 seeds: Utah State, Minnesota, Seton Hall, Oklahoma
10 seeds: Saint John's, Ole Miss, North Carolina State, Baylor
11 seeds: Syracuse, Ohio State, Saint Mary's College, Temple
12 seeds: TCU, Clemson, Arizona State, Florida, Murray State, New Mexico State
13 seeds: Liberty, UC Irvine, Vermont, Northeastern
14 seeds: Yale, Old Dominion, Northern Kentucky, Georgia State
15 seeds: Montana, Colgate, Abilene Christian, Gardner-Webb
16 seeds: Bradley, Fairleigh Dickinson, Iona, Prairie View A&M, North Dakota State, Norfolk State

First four out: Alabama, UNC Greensboro, Creighton, Belmont
Next four out: Furman, Lipscomb, Davidson,  Memphis

Thursday, March 14, 2019

March 14, 2019

1 seeds: Virginia, North Carolina, Kentucky, Duke
2 seeds: Gonzaga, Tennessee, Michigan, Michigan State
3 seeds: Texas Tech, LSU, Houston, Kansas
4 seeds: Purdue, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Wisconsin
5 seeds: Kansas State, Marquette, Mississippi State, Maryland
6 seeds: Villanova, Wofford, Buffalo, Nevada
7 seeds: Cincinnati, Auburn, UCF, Louisville
8 seeds: Iowa State, Washington, Iowa, Oklahoma
9 seeds: Ole Miss, VCU, Baylor, Utah State
10 seeds: North Carolina State, Minnesota, Seton Hall, Saint John's
11 seeds: Syracuse, TCU, Arizona State, Saint Mary's College
12 seeds: Clemson, Temple, Ohio State, Creighton, Murray State, New Mexico State
13 seeds: Liberty, Vermont, UC Irvine, Northeastern
14 seeds: Yale, Old Dominion, Northern Kentucky, Montana
15 seeds: Georgia State, Colgate, Gardner-Webb, Sam Houston State
16 seeds: Bradley, Fairleigh Dickinson, Iona, Prairie View A&M, North Dakota State, Norfolk State

First four out: Florida, Alabama, Furman, Belmont
Next four out: Indiana, UNC Greensboro, Lipscomb, Georgetown

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

March 12, 2019

Preliminary bracket - my goal is to update this at least once more before going final Sunday afternoon. There are a lot of bubble teams in action over the next 2 days.

1 seeds: Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina, Kentucky
2 seeds: Duke, Tennessee, Michigan, Michigan State
3 seeds: Houston, Texas Tech, LSU, Kansas
4 seeds: Purdue, Marquette, Wisconsin, Florida State
5 seeds: Virginia Tech, Kansas State, Mississippi State, Villanova
6 seeds: Maryland, Buffalo, Nevada, Auburn
7 seeds: Cincinnati, Wofford, UCF, Iowa State
8 seeds: Iowa, Louisville, Washington, Oklahoma
9 seeds: VCU, Ole Miss, Baylor, Utah State
10 seeds: North Carolina State, Seton Hall, Minnesota, Saint John's
11 seeds: Syracuse, Temple, TCU, Arizona State
12 seeds: Clemson, Ohio State, Saint Mary's, Belmont, Murray State, New Mexico State
13 seeds: Liberty, UC Irvine, Hofstra, Vermont
14 seeds: Yale, Old Dominion, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky
15 seeds: Montana, Georgia State, Colgate, Gardner-Webb
16 seeds: Sam Houston State, Bradley, Iona, Prairie View A&M, Fairleigh Dickinson, Norfolk State

Sunday, March 11, 2018

March 11, 2018 - Final Bracket

1's: Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
2's: Cincinnati, North Carolina, Duke, Purdue
3's: Tennessee, Auburn, Michigan State, Michigan
4's: Wichita State, Arizona, Texas Tech, Gonzaga
5's: Ohio State, West Virginia, Kentucky, Clemson
6's: Houston, Miami (FL), Rhode Island, Arkansas
7's: Texas A&M, TCU, Nevada, Florida
8's: Virginia Tech, Saint Bonaventure, Kansas State, Florida State
9's: North Carolina State, USC, Seton Hall, UCLA
10's: Creighton, Providence, Missouri, Oklahoma
11's: Butler, Texas, Alabama, Middle Tennessee, Loyola-Chicago, New Mexico State
12's: South Dakota State, San Diego State, Murray State, Buffalo
13's: Charleston, Davidson, UNC-Greensboro, Bucknell
14's: Marshall, Montana, Wright State, Lipscomb
15's: Stephen F. Austin, Iona, UMBC, Penn
16's: Georgia State, Cal State Fullerton, Radford, Texas Southern, Long Island, NC Central

*Contingency: If Houston defeats Cincinnati, they will move up to a 5-seed line, bumping Clemson to a 6-seed. Cincinnati will remain on the 2-line.

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

S-Curve comparison

After revealing the bracket on Sunday, the committee published its 1-68 S-Curve rankings of the teams in the field.  I managed to slot exactly 25% of the field on the correct S-Curve line, and 49 teams within three spots.

Team Drew NCAA Var Variance Teams
Villanova 1 1 0 0 17
Kansas 2 2 0 1 14
North Carolina 5 3 -2 2 8
Gonzaga 3 4 1 3 10
Kentucky 7 5 -2 4 7
Arizona 6 6 0 5 6
Duke 4 7 3 6 1
Louisville 8 8 0 7 1
Oregon 11 9 -2 8 1
Florida State 10 10 0 9 1
UCLA 15 11 -4 10 2
Baylor 9 12 3
Butler 13 13 0
Florida 12 14 2
West Virginia 19 15 -4
Purdue 18 16 -2
Virginia 16 17 1
Minnesota 17 18 1
Notre Dame 14 19 5
Iowa State 20 20 0
SMU 22 21 -1
Cincinnati 23 22 -1
Maryland 27 23 -4
Creighton 26 24 -2
Saint Marys College 25 25 0
South Carolina 33 26 -7
Michigan 24 27 3
Dayton 34 28 -6
Wisconsin 21 29 8
Miami (FL) 29 30 1
Arkansas 28 31 3
Northwestern 31 32 1
Vanderbilt 43 33 -10
Seton Hall 36 34 -2
Michigan State 40 35 -5
Virginia Tech 32 36 4
Oklahoma State 37 37 0
Wichita State 38 38 0
Marquette 39 39 0
Virginia Commonwealth 30 40 10
Xavier 41 41 0
Providence 45 42 -3
Wake Forest 42 43 1
Rhode Island 35 44 9
USC 44 45 1
Kansas State 46 46 0
Nevada 48 47 -1
Middle Tennessee 47 48 1
UNC Wilmington 49 49 0
Princeton 53 50 -3
Bucknell 55 51 -4
East Tennessee State 51 52 1
Vermont 50 53 3
Winthrop 54 54 0
New Mexico State 52 55 3
Florida Gulf Coast 56 56 0
Kent State 62 57 -5
Iona 58 58 0
Northern Kentucky 57 59 2
Troy 65 60 -5
Jacksonville State 66 61 -5
North Dakota 59 62 3
Texas Southern 60 63 3
South Dakota State 68 64 -4
UC Davis 64 65 1
North Carolina Central 61 66 5
New Orleans 63 67 4
Mount Saint Marys 67 68 1

Sunday, March 12, 2017

Committee's Bracket Revealed

True Seed - Team - My Seed - Paymon Points
1 - Villanova - 1 - 6
1 - Kansas - 1 - 6
1 - North Carolina - 2 - 4
1 - Gonzaga - 1 - 6
2 - Duke - 1 - 4
2 - Louisville - 2 - 6
2 - Kentucky - 2 - 6
2 - Arizona - 2 - 6
3 - Baylor - 3 - 6
3 - Oregon - 3 - 6
3 - UCLA - 4 - 4
3 - Florida State - 3 - 6
4 - Florida - 3 - 4
4 - Purdue - 5 - 4
4 - Butler - 4 - 6
4 - West Virginia - 5 - 4
5 - Virginia - 4 - 4
5 - Iowa State- 5 - 6
5 - Minnesota - 5 - 6
5 - Notre Dame - 4 - 4
6 - SMU - 6 - 6
6 - Creighton - 7 - 4
6 - Cincinnati - 6 - 6
6 - Maryland - 7 - 4
7 - South Carolina - 9 - 3
7 - Michigan - 6 - 4
7 - Dayton - 9 - 3
7 - Saint Mary's - 7 - 6
8 - Wisconsin - 6 - 3
8 - Miami - 8 - 6
8 - Arkansas - 7 - 4
8 - Northwestern - 8 - 6
9 - Virginia Tech - 8 - 4
9 - Michigan State - 10 - 4
9 - Seton Hall - 9 - 6
9 - Vanderbilt - 11 - 3
10 - Marquette - 10 - 6
10 - Oklahoma State - 10 - 6
10 - Wichita State - 10 - 6
10 - VCU - 8 - 3
11 - Rhode Island - 9 - 3
11 - Xavier - 11 - 6
11 - Providence - 11 - 6
11 - USC - 11 - 6
11 - Kansas State - 11 - 6
11 - Wake Forest - 11 - 6
12 - UNC Wilmington - 12 - 6
12 - Nevada - 12 - 6
12 - Middle Tennessee - 12 - 6
12 - Princeton - 13 - 4
13 - East Tennessee State - 13 - 6
13 - Vermont - 12 - 4
13 - Winthrop - 13 - 6
13 - Bucknell - 14 - 4
14 - New Mexico State - 13 - 4
14 - Iona - 14 - 6
14 - Kent State - 15 - 4
14 - Florida Gulf Coast - 14 - 6
15 - Troy - 16 - 4
15 - Jacksonville State - 15 - 6
15 - Northern Kentucky - 14 - 4
15 - North Dakota - 15 - 6
16 - Texas Southern - 15 - 4
16 - South Dakota State - 16 - 6
16 - Mount Saint Mary's - 16 - 6
16 - New Orleans - 16 - 6
16 - NC Central - 15 - 4
16 - UC Davis - 16 - 6

Total Paymon Points: 344
East: 10*6, 6*4, 2*3 = 90
Midwest: 10*6, 6*4, 1*3 = 87
South: 10*6, 6*4, 1*3 = 87
West: 9*6, 5*4, 2*3 = 80